KRAC Blog

My buddy Andy touted me to Barbaro last year, so I badgered him for a pick this year. His reply looked like handicapping for people who enjoy doing their taxes, and is worth reproducing just so that others can marvel in its complexity:

"You are right about a though field. As far as prepped, Nafzger only preps for the big races (Street Sense). That said, Street Sense is still a tough bet at 4-1. Curlin, a favorite, I say no. The money is too short anyway. Scat Daddy, I like for the name only.
I will be going with Zanjero across. However because we have a tough field to pick from, I am going very exotic this year too, and not for everyone's palate. I have three horses I am putting in three Tri-fectas. Tiago, Zanjero, and Stormello. Zanjero at 30-1 is attractive, and he's bred to run in slop. Weather looks wet for race day and Zanjero, at 3rd position will go straight to the back and come off the pace. I like Tiago, nice Santa Anita show and Giacomo brother (half anyway, not sure if that means anything). Stormello is the horse that has speed, even though there isn't much speed in this field. I expect he will take the lead early.
So here's my trifecta wheel tickets:
Trifecta ticket #1 will look like:
#1a) Trifecta Box for $2.00
1st = Tiago
2nd = All
3rd = All
(Cost of this ticket $684)

#1b) Trifecta Box for $2.00
1st = All
2nd = Tiago
3rd = All
(Cost of this ticket $684)

#1c) Trifecta Box for $2.00
1st = All
2nd = All
3rd = Tiago
(Cost of this ticket $684)

This is what trifecta ticket #2 will look like:

#2a) Trifecta Box for $2.00
1st = Zanjero
2nd = All
3rd = All
(Cost of this ticket $684)

#2b) Trifecta Box for $2.00
1st = All
2nd = Zanjero
3rd = All
(Cost of this ticket $684)

#2c) Trifecta Box for $2.00
1st = All
2nd = All
3rd = Zanjero
(Cost of this ticket $684)

This is what trifecta ticket #3 will look like:

#3a) Trifecta Box for $1.00
1st = Stormello
2nd = All
3rd = All
(Cost of this ticket $342)

#3b) Trifecta Box for $1.00
1st = All
2nd = Stormello
3rd = All
(Cost of this ticket $342)

#3c) Trifecta Box for $1.00
1st = All
2nd = All
3rd = Stormello
(Cost of this ticket $342)

Before you think I've gone mad, I'm splitting the five grand between 25 people. ($200 each). Simple bet is Zanjero across. I will also have something on Circular Quay across. I'd watch [out for]any horse with a winning record on a Poly surface, such as keeneland. This is espacially true if you track speed figures.... I mean be careful.

Good luck again. Remember, it's horse race. Anything can happen, my disclaimer."

I hope the mint juleps at Andy's party were exceptional.